The monsoon is expected to reach Kerala on June 4, about three days behind its normal date. Favorable conditions in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal are contributing to the rapid advance of the monsoon and it is expected to enter Kerala in the next few days.

This could also trigger heavy to very heavy rainfall in several states across South India. The monsoon typically reaches Kerala around June 1st, marking the beginning of the country's four-month rainy season.

Monsoon will reach Kerala on June 4

This year, the Meteorological Department (IMD) had originally predicted the arrival of the monsoon on May 26th, but its pace slowed due to unfavorable conditions. Now, the department says the monsoon may arrive in Kerala around June 4th.

When will the weather change in North India?

The weather in northern India may also change starting Wednesday. The Meteorological Department has also indicated relief for northwest, central, and eastern India.

The weather may change in several states, including Delhi, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Bihar. Strong winds, thunderstorms, and scattered rain activity may increase in these areas. This is expected to bring some relief from the intense heat and heatwave conditions.

Heavy rains will occur in Kerala

Heavy to very heavy rainfall, ranging from 7 to 20 cm, is expected at many places in Kerala during the next six to seven days. Heavy rain is also forecast for many parts of Tamil Nadu and Karnataka.

Alerts have been issued in several districts of Kerala. The rain is expected to be accompanied by strong winds of up to 40 to 50 kilometers per hour and lightning.

However, the news of the monsoon's arrival also brings another concern: This year, El Niño could result in up to 10 percent less rainfall than normal for the entire monsoon season.

According to the IMD, rainfall across the country is likely to be around 90 per cent of the long-term average, which falls in the below normal category.

Currently, neutral conditions in the Pacific Ocean are gradually shifting toward El Niño. The Meteorological Department predicts that its effects will be weak in June, but could strengthen by September. Therefore, while the monsoon season may be starting well, meteorologists will continue to monitor its performance throughout the season.

 PC : Jagran