The temperature of the Indian Ocean may be helpful in detecting dengue outbreaks in advance
Dengue fever outbreak is a serious problem detect thousands of people fall prey to this viral disease. Scientists are now researching a new way to predict dengue outbreaks in advance.
Dengue fever outbreak is a serious problem in India. Every year thousands of people fall prey to this viral disease. Scientists are now researching a new way to predict dengue outbreaks in advance and this method is quite interesting. According to a recently published study, unusual changes in the surface temperature of the tropical Indian Ocean can help predict the intensity and timing of dengue outbreaks around the world.
In the study, scientists have identified the 'Indian Ocean Basin-Wide (IOBW)' index, which essentially represents the average of changes in surface temperature across the tropical Indian Ocean. The researchers found that changes in the IOBW index are associated with dengue outbreaks up to three months before outbreaks in both the northern and southern hemispheres.
"This index (IOBW) can potentially provide advance information for dengue forecasting, which can help in preparing better response plans and mitigating outbreaks," says study co-author Dr Rahul Bhattacharya (Beijing Normal University, China). However, more research is still needed in this area. Study lead author Dr Vincent Z. Gonzalez (Institut Pasteur, France) made it clear that although our model demonstrates the ability to capture the observed patterns, there should be no conceit about its predictive ability without rigorous validation of future data.
Still, this finding shows a promising new way to predict dengue outbreaks. Timely forecasts could give health officials time to launch mosquito control campaigns and alert people, reducing the number of dengue cases. The study also found that changes in regional temperatures can affect the environment suitable for dengue, increasing the likelihood of mosquitoes thriving and spreading the virus.
To prevent dengue outbreaks, we must take measures to prevent mosquito breeding, such as maintaining cleanliness around homes and not allowing stagnant water to accumulate. Also, we should install mesh doors and windows and wear full-sleeved clothes to protect ourselves from mosquitoes. This new research could prove to be an important step in the fight against dengue. In the future, by monitoring the Indian Ocean, we will be better prepared for dengue outbreaks