After Gaza, is Israel going to launch a ground attack in Lebanon? Understand the plan from the old pattern.

On Monday, Israel carried out airstrikes on several Hezbollah bases, in which 492 people were killed and more than 1600 people were injured. Earlier, last week, around 37 people lost their lives and thousands were injured in pager and walkie-talkie explosions. According to media reports, Israel is also behind these explosions in Lebanon.

On the other hand, Israel is continuously making statements that this fight is not against the common people of Lebanon but against Hezbollah. Israel is repeatedly stressing that if Hezbollah still does not understand, it will be made to understand with more force. The statements of Israeli officials and the airstrike on Monday are raising questions about whether Israel is now going to launch a ground attack in Lebanon as well. However, when Israeli army spokesperson Daniel Hagar was asked about this yesterday, he did not give any clear statement. But if we look at the pattern of Israel's latest action, it is similar to the 'ground invasion' carried out in Gaza.

What happened in Gaza a year ago?

About a year ago on 7 October, Hamas fighters entered the Israeli border and carried out a major attack. It is claimed that about 1200 Israelis died in this attack. After this attack by Hamas, Israel started retaliatory action against Hamas on 8 October. After bombing Hamas bases in Gaza for about 5 days, the Israeli army started a ground attack. On 13 October, hundreds of Israeli tanks remained stationed on the Gaza border and slowly moved forward.

In the early days of the war, Israel first destroyed Hamas's important bases and reduced its war-fighting capabilities. Israel claims that Hamas keeps its command centers near residential areas, hospitals, and religious places, which makes it difficult to destroy them. Therefore, before the attacks in Gaza, Israeli intelligence used to send pre-recorded messages to the people of Gaza, these messages were in Arabic language. The common people were appealed to vacate the areas where Hamas had built its strategic bases.

What is happening in Lebanon now?

Israel adopted the same method before the attack in Lebanon yesterday. In a video posted on social media on Monday, Israel Defense Force spokesman Avichai Adraee asked people to vacate their homes. He alleged that Hezbollah uses these houses and buildings to hide its weapons. Adraee's message was in Arabic.

Apart from this, the local media of Lebanon has reported that on Monday, people in many areas including Beirut were warned through landline call messages. In this, they were asked to vacate the buildings to avoid air strikes. Just a few hours after this, the Israeli army targeted Hezbollah's bases by carrying out air strikes in the southern and northeastern areas of Lebanon.

Earlier last week on 17th and 18th September, thousands of pagers and walkie-talkies exploded in Lebanon. It is believed that through these explosions Israel has targeted the entire communication system of Hezbollah. Now if we look at this entire incident, then all these actions seem to be aimed at weakening Hezbollah. Thousands of Israeli soldiers have already been deployed on the Lebanon border, this is the reason why the possibility of Israel's ground attack in Lebanon is increasing.

Will a ground invasion in Lebanon be easy?

Even though the pattern of Israeli action in Lebanon is similar to the action taken against Hamas in Gaza, it will not be so easy to launch a ground attack in Lebanon. There are two big reasons for this, first- France stands firmly with Lebanon. Second- America is also against the ground attack.

Before Lebanon's independence, it was under France, so France understands its responsibility to support and defend Lebanon at every opportunity. This is the reason why France is active regarding the Israeli attack on Lebanon, France has appealed to call an emergency meeting of the UNSC to discuss the situation in Lebanon. At the same time, America is also worried about the possibility of Israel's ground attack in Lebanon and has also expressed opposition to it.