Lok Sabha Election Exit Poll: Modi's magic prevailed even in regions where the opposition claimed the BJP had no chance

According to the exit polls of TV9-People's Insight and POLSTRAT, the BJP-led NDA seems to be gaining political advantage not only in North India but also in the South. Out of the 39 Lok Sabha seats in Tamil Nadu, the All India Alliance may win 35 seats. The 2019 Lok Sabha elections were a dull one for the BJP in South India, but it is likely to gain political advantage in this election.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi

In the Lok Sabha elections in 2024, South India was considered to be the most difficult and weak link for the BJP, and the All India Alliance's hopes were pinned on this region. The election results will be announced on June 4, but the exit polls that came before that have dashed all the hopes of the opposition. PM Modi's magic has worked not only in the states of North India but also in the states of the South this time. This time BJP seems to be opening its account in states like Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh, while the seats are increasing in Telangana.

According to the exit polls of TV9-People's Insight and POLSTRAT, the BJP-led NDA seems to be gaining political advantage not only in North India but also in the South. There are a total of 131 Lok Sabha seats in the southern states, of which Karnataka has 28, Telangana has 17, Andhra Pradesh has 25, Tamil Nadu has 39, Kerala has 20, Puducherry and Lakshadweep have 1 seat each. This time the BJP-led NDA is expected to get 44 seats. In this way, the seats of the NDA have been increasing since 2019.

What do the exit poll estimates say about Karnataka?

Karnataka has a total of 28 Lok Sabha seats. According to the exit poll of TV9 Bharatvarsh-People's Insight and POLSTRAT, the BJP is expected to win 18 out of 28 seats in Karnataka, while its ally JDS may get two seats. Congress is expected to get eight seats. In Karnataka, BJP may lose seven seats compared to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, but it is likely to gain political advantage in other states of South India.

According to the exit poll survey, out of 17 seats in Telangana, BJP is seen getting seven seats, while Congress is expected to get 8 seats. BRS may get one seat and AIMIM is getting one seat. Asaduddin Owaisi seems to be winning from the Hyderabad seat. According to the exit poll, KCR's party BRS is expected to suffer a big loss, while Congress and BJP are expected to gain. In 2019, the BJP won four seats in Telangana and the Congress got three seats. At the same time, BRS won 9 seats.

BJP may get 4 seats in Tamil Nadu

According to the exit poll of TV9-People's Insight and POLSTRAT, out of 39 Lok Sabha seats in Tamil Nadu, India Alliance can get 35 seats, while NDA can get 4 seats. AIADMK does not seem to open its account. Out of the 4 seats that NDA will get, BJP is getting 2 seats, while one seat can go to VCK and one seat to PMK. In India Alliance, Congress can get 8 seats, DMK 21, Left 4, OPS 1, MDMK 1 and VCK 1 seats. BJP could not open its account in Tamil Nadu in 2019, whereas this time it can get two seats. BJP can win the Coimbatore and Tirunelveli seats.

There are 20 Lok Sabha seats in Kerala. According to the exit poll, the BJP is expected to win one seat in Kerala. Congress-led UDF may get 16 seats, while Left-led LDF may get 3 seats. In UDF, Congress may get 13 seats, the Indian Union Muslim League may get 2, and KEC may get 1 seat. In LDF, CPM may win two seats and CPI may win one seat. In the 2019 elections, BJP did not open its account in Kerala, but it may get one seat. BJP's Suresh Gopi may win the election from Thrissur. UDF may lose 3 seats in Kerala, while LDF may gain seats.

NDA may also benefit in Andhra Pradesh

According to the exit poll of TV9-People's Insight and POLSTRAT, NDA is expected to win 12 out of 25 Lok Sabha seats in Andhra Pradesh, while All India Alliance does not seem to open its account. YSR Congress is expected to win 13 seats. Out of the 12 seats of NDA, BJP is estimated to win 2, TDP 9, and JSP 1 seat. YSR Congress is losing 10 seats. In 2019, BJP did not open its account in Andhra Pradesh, but this time it has got political benefit by contesting elections together with TDP. BJP is getting two seats.

PM Modi's magic faded in South India in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, but this time he is expected to get political benefits in the elections. In the South, there are Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Puducherry and Lakshadweep. Thus, there are a total of 131 seats in the South. If we look at the results of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, BJP was successful in winning 29 parliamentary seats, while Congress got 27 seats and regional parties got 74 seats. This time NDA's seats are increasing to 44. In this way, the political benefits of 13 seats are expected.

Accounts can be opened in Kerala and Tamil Nadu

In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, BJP was successful in winning seats in Karnataka and Telangana, while it could not even open its account in Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh. In such a situation, BJP was in the electoral fray for 2024 by allying with new allies in the South, in which it contested the elections in alliance with TDP in Andhra Pradesh and JDS in Karnataka. In this way, BJP also joined hands with local parties in Tamil Nadu. BJP is seen opening its account from Andhra Pradesh to Tamil Nadu and Kerala, so its seats may increase in Telangana.