IMD Predictions: What did IMD say about monsoon?


Weather News: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Monday predicted above-normal rainfall in the country. The IMD also said that some parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Uttarakhand, and Himachal Pradesh are likely to receive below-normal rainfall. IMD chief Mrityunjay Mohapatra said that between June and September, the entire country is likely to receive above-normal rainfall under the southwest monsoon.

He said that during these four months, the rainfall is likely to be 106 percent of the Long Term Average (LPA). However, he said that there is a possibility of normal rainfall in North West India including Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan, Punjab, and Western Uttar Pradesh.

There will be relief after May 30, but...

Mohapatra said on Monday that people of North West India, including Delhi, who are suffering from severe heat, may get relief from the scorching heat after May 30. He said, a severe heat wave is blowing in parts of North West India and it may continue for the next three days, but its intensity will gradually decrease from May 30, as a Western Disturbance is coming. 

He said that due to Western Disturbance and moisture coming from the Arabian Sea, there is a possibility of rain in the western Himalayan region along with thunderstorms in the northwest and central parts of the country, which may provide relief to the people from the heat.

Mercury will rise in June, humidity will bother you

However, Mohapatra also said that this relief will be temporary and in the month of June, maximum and minimum temperatures are expected to remain above normal in most parts of India including Delhi, Western Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab and Rajasthan and humidity will also increase.

According to him, the maximum temperature remains below normal in many parts of the Southern Peninsula, while the minimum temperature may remain below normal in the far northern parts of the Northwest and some parts of East and North East India.

He also said that in June, intense heat waves may continue for more days than normal in Northwest India, including Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, parts of Gujarat, and northern Madhya Pradesh. 

Heat waves will wreak havoc for longer days

Mohapatra said that in the month of June, heat waves usually blow for three days in North West India, but this time such a situation may prevail for two to four days more in these areas, i.e. severe heat waves are expected to blow for four to six days in these areas. He said that in the month of May, heat waves blew for nine to 12 days in Rajasthan and Gujarat and the temperature reached 45 to 50 degrees Celsius. 

What are the chances of rain?

Mohapatra further said Odisha and the Gangetic region of adjoining West Bengal, South Chhattisgarh, and many parts of the northeastern states are likely to receive less than normal rainfall. He said that rain-fed agriculture areas are also likely to receive more than normal rainfall, which includes parts of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Bihar, Jharkhand, and Odisha. 

Mohapatra said that if the rainfall is less than 90 percent of LPA, it is considered deficient rainfall. According to him, rainfall between 90 and 95 percent is considered below normal, between 96 and 104 percent is considered normal and between 105 and 110 percent is considered above normal. 

What did IMD say about monsoon?

The IMD chief said that as per the long-term average, the entire country receives an average of 87 cm of rain between June 1 and September 30. He said that Central India and South Peninsula are likely to receive more than normal rainfall. According to him, these areas may receive 94 to 106 percent of LPA rainfall. 

Mohapatra said that the southwest monsoon has advanced to most parts of the south and east-central Bay of Bengal. He said that during the next five days, there are favorable conditions for the monsoon to advance into some more parts of the South Arabian Sea some parts of Kerala and Tamil Nadu-Puducherry, and some parts of the Bay of Bengal and the northeastern states.